Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rende vs San Luca Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Piscopo M.
Own Goal
80' Event
Palma M.
90' Event
Pelle A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between Rende and San Luca finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rende
15%
Draws
26%
San Luca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Rende carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Rende taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors San Luca here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Rende Clean Sheet 68%
San Luca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rende San Luca
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs San Luca
1:2
Jan 26, 2022 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Rende
2:0
Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs San Luca
3:1
Dec 23, 2020 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Rende
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rende Compare

Top Goalscorer Palma M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Pelle A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rende 95 / 100
San Luca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rende San Luca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rende Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Rende found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: San Luca conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rende stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Luca
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rende

(Home)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

San Luca

(Away)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)