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Renfrew vs Celtic B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Smith O.
Assist: Harwood B.
23' Event
Daly C.
Assist: Obidiwe E.
26' Event
Clearie L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Renfrew and Celtic B finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtic B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Renfrew
20%
Draws
32%
Celtic B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renfrew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celtic B come out ahead of Renfrew on wins alone.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.2%
Renfrew Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renfrew Celtic B
Matches Played 12 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 1 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.92 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Lowland League
Renfrew vs Celtic B
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renfrew Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fyfe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Celtic B Compare

Top Goalscorer Daly C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dargie R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renfrew 29 / 100
Celtic B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renfrew Celtic B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renfrew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renfrew found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (12 games).

Defensive concern: Celtic B conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Renfrew stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renfrew VS Celtic B
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Renfrew

(Home)
10 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
1 : 2
Renfrew
03 Oct
Renfrew
3 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Renfrew
3 : 0
Beith
16 Sept
Pollok
1 : 3
Renfrew
Page 1 of 3

Celtic B

(Away)
13 Oct
Cowdenbeath
2 : 3
Celtic B
26 Sept
Clachnacuddin
3 : 3
Celtic B
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)