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Rennes vs Auxerre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rennes host Auxerre in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Rennes at 1.67 goals for, 1.63 against; Auxerre at 1.54 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Auxerre slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Rennes. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Rennes
15%
Draws
48%
Auxerre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rennes lately — more wins on the board than Auxerre.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rennes Clean Sheet 17%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Auxerre
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Rennes
0:3
Oct 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Auxerre
2:2
Apr 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Auxerre
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Rennes
4:0
Mar 11, 2023 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Rennes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 31 / 100
Auxerre 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Auxerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Auxerre has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rennes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Auxerre
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rennes

(Home)
02 Oct
Laval
1 : 0
Rennes
19 Sept
Lyon
4 : 0
Rennes
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre

(Away)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)