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Rennes vs Le Mans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lepaul E.
Assist: Thomasson A.
26' Event
Rongier V.
Assist: Soumare I.
30' Event
Mafouta L.
Assist: Calodat L.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Rennes and Le Mans finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rennes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rennes
30%
Draws
12%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rennes come out ahead of Le Mans on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rennes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Rennes Clean Sheet 19%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Le Mans
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Le Mans
3:2
Oct 26, 2011 Coupe de la Ligue
Le Mans vs Rennes
1:0
Mar 28, 2010 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Rennes
1:3
Nov 21, 2009 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Le Mans
2:1
Mar 14, 2009 Ligue 1
Le Mans vs Rennes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepaul E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rongier V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Le Mans Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafouta L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 85 / 100
Le Mans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rennes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Le Mans let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Rennes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Le Mans
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rennes

(Home)
04 Nov
Rennes
0 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
30 Oct
Nice
5 : 2
Rennes
25 Oct
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
22 Oct
Juventus
2 : 2
Rennes
18 Oct
Paris FC
4 : 3
Rennes
Page 1 of 6

Le Mans

(Away)
31 Oct
Troyes
2 : 0
Le Mans
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1
Le Mans
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3
Toulouse
10 Oct
PSG
3 : 1
Le Mans
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)