Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rennes vs Nantes

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lepaul E.
(Penalty)
38'
Cozza N.
40' Event
Ganago I.
Assist: Cozza N.

AI Match Summary

Rennes in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rennes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rennes
20%
Draws
29%
Nantes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rennes have won more games recently than Nantes.
  • Win probability leans Rennes's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%
Nantes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Nantes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Nantes
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Rennes
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Nantes vs Rennes
2:3
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Nantes
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Rennes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Rongier V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ganago I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 34 / 100
Nantes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Nantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Nantes let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Rennes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Nantes
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rennes

(Home)
08 Aug
Rennes
2 : 4
Brentford
08 Aug
Rennes
1 : 2
Brentford U21
02 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 3
Rennes
25 Jul
Rennes
2 : 1
Club Brugge
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
Page 1 of 6

Nantes

(Away)
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1
Red Star
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Le Mans
1 : 0
Nantes
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)