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Rennes vs Strasbourg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rennes host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Strasbourg have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Rennes have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.86. Head-to-head, Rennes have won 3 to Strasbourg's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.56, favoring Rennes. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rennes
20%
Draws
29%
Strasbourg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Strasbourg haven't matched Rennes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rennes's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rennes Clean Sheet 15%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes Strasbourg
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.86 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Rennes
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Strasbourg
4:1
Feb 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Strasbourg
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Rennes
3:1
Mar 31, 2024 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Rennes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 48 / 100
Strasbourg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes Strasbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rennes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Strasbourg has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Rennes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS Strasbourg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rennes

(Home)
15 Oct
Rennes
2 : 1
OFI Crete
11 Oct
Rennes
4 : 1
Auxerre
02 Oct
Laval
1 : 0
Rennes
19 Sept
Lyon
4 : 0
Rennes
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
Page 1 of 6

Strasbourg

(Away)
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
11 Oct
Nice
2 : 1
Strasbourg
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1
Monaco
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 6 4 2 0 10:5 14
2 Lille 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Rennes 6 4 1 1 12:10 13
4 Lyon 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
5 Paris FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
6 PSG 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
7 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 12:11 9
8 Brest 6 2 2 2 12:9 8
9 Lorient 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
10 Nice 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Lens 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
12 Strasbourg 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
13 Angers 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
14 Marseille 6 2 0 4 9:8 6
15 Le Mans 7 1 3 3 10:15 6
16 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
17 Troyes 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Le Havre 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)