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Renofa Yamaguchi vs FC Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi
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Match Events

59'
Sub
Noyori K. In: Nomura N.
Out: Noyori K.
71'
Sub
Morimura S. In: Natsukawa Y.
Out: Morimura S.
71'
Sub
Kubo R. In: Nagano S.
Out: Kubo R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Renofa Yamaguchi
20%
Draws
28%
FC Osaka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renofa Yamaguchi lately — more wins on the board than FC Osaka.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 16%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renofa Yamaguchi FC Osaka
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs FC Osaka
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renofa Yamaguchi 30 / 100
FC Osaka 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renofa Yamaguchi FC Osaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Osaka conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Renofa Yamaguchi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Renofa Yamaguchi VS FC Osaka
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renofa Yamaguchi

(Home)
11 Oct
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6

FC Osaka

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Osaka
1 : 1
Kanazawa
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)