Sport Picks
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi 
Match Events
28'
28'
Tanaka W.
29'
29'
Fujimori S.
46'
46'
Sub
Fujimori S. In: Ito T.
Out: Fujimori S.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Renofa Yamaguchi and Kagoshima United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kagoshima United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Kagoshima United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 17%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renofa Yamaguchi | Kagoshima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United
1:1
Aug 19, 2026 Emperors Cup
Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 J2/J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renofa Yamaguchi Compare
Top Goalscorer Naruoka H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Delgado J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renofa Yamaguchi 31 / 100
Kagoshima United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renofa Yamaguchi Kagoshima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kagoshima United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Renofa Yamaguchi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Renofa Yamaguchi VS Kagoshima United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Renofa Yamaguchi
(Home) 03 Nov
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
31 Oct
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
25 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
21 Oct
Ehime
2 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
18 Oct
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Kochi United
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
31 Oct
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
18 Oct
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Kochi United
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 3
Kagoshima United
(Away) 03 Nov
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
31 Oct
Kagoshima United
1 : 1 Kumamoto
24 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Kagoshima United
21 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Kochi United
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2 Ehime
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
24 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Kagoshima United
11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Kagoshima United
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28:15 | 28 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:20 | 23 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27:32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
