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Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renofa Yamaguchi host Kochi United in the J3 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Kochi United have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Renofa Yamaguchi have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Renofa Yamaguchi have won 1 to Kochi United's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.81, favoring Renofa Yamaguchi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Renofa Yamaguchi
20%
Draws
6%
Kochi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renofa Yamaguchi lately — more wins on the board than Kochi United.
  • Renofa Yamaguchi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 20%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renofa Yamaguchi Kochi United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kochi United vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renofa Yamaguchi 85 / 100
Kochi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renofa Yamaguchi Kochi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Renofa Yamaguchi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Renofa Yamaguchi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kochi United let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Renofa Yamaguchi VS Kochi United
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Renofa Yamaguchi

(Home)
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3
Renofa Yamaguchi
Page 1 of 6

Kochi United

(Away)
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1
Kanazawa
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
4 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
6 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)