Sport Picks
Renofa Yamaguchi vs SC Sagamihara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sasaki K.
Assist: Nakayama R.
19'
19'
Sasaki K.
Assist: Nakayama R.
40'
40'
Ozawa R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: SC Sagamihara at 1.9 per game, Renofa Yamaguchi at 1.45.
- Win probability leans Renofa Yamaguchi's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 17%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renofa Yamaguchi | SC Sagamihara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs SC Sagamihara
2:2
Sep 19, 2021 J2 League
SC Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:0
May 15, 2021 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs SC Sagamihara
1:0
Oct 4, 2015 J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs SC Sagamihara
5:0
Jul 26, 2015 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renofa Yamaguchi Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamamoto S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
SC Sagamihara Compare
Top Goalscorer Sasaki K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renofa Yamaguchi 75 / 100
SC Sagamihara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renofa Yamaguchi SC Sagamihara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Renofa Yamaguchi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
SC Sagamihara let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Renofa Yamaguchi VS SC Sagamihara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Renofa Yamaguchi
(Home) 03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
02 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
30 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 0 FC Osaka
15 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 0 Ryukyu
Page 1 of 3
SC Sagamihara
(Away) 03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
29 Aug
Ryukyu
2 : 1 SC Sagamihara
15 Aug
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 4 SC Sagamihara
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 6 | SC Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Nagano Parceiro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:20 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
