Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Oiwa K.
44' Event
Matsumoto K.
46'
Sub
Misawa N. In: Naruoka H.
Out: Misawa N.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Renofa Yamaguchi and Tegevajaro Miyazaki finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Renofa Yamaguchi
39%
Draws
31%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tegevajaro Miyazaki come out ahead of Renofa Yamaguchi on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 68%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renofa Yamaguchi Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 22
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 J2/J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renofa Yamaguchi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsumoto K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renofa Yamaguchi 41 / 100
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renofa Yamaguchi Tegevajaro Miyazaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Tegevajaro Miyazaki conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Renofa Yamaguchi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renofa Yamaguchi VS Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Renofa Yamaguchi

(Home)
06 Jun
Yokohama FC
2 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
30 May
Kochi United
2 : 3
Renofa Yamaguchi
23 May
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 2
Kumamoto
16 May
Sagan Tosu
1 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
09 May
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 6

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Away)
15 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
06 Jun
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 1
Kofu
30 May
Toyama
1 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
24 May
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 3
Reilac Shiga
17 May
Oita Trinita
1 : 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)