Sport Picks
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi 
Match Events
15'
15'
Watanabe S.
Assist: Nakashima K.
24'
24'
Yamamoto R.
Assist: Tanabe K.
35'
35'
Wakasa Y.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Renofa Yamaguchi and Thespakusatsu Gunma finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renofa Yamaguchi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Renofa Yamaguchi carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Renofa Yamaguchi a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Renofa Yamaguchi have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 20%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renofa Yamaguchi | Thespakusatsu Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2:0
Jun 16, 2024 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0:1
Jun 12, 2024 Emperors Cup
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1:2
Apr 14, 2024 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
4:0
Sep 23, 2023 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renofa Yamaguchi Compare
Top Goalscorer Watanabe S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yamamoto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renofa Yamaguchi 85 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renofa Yamaguchi Thespakusatsu Gunma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Thespakusatsu Gunma conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Renofa Yamaguchi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Renofa Yamaguchi scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Renofa Yamaguchi VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Renofa Yamaguchi
(Home) 03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
02 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
30 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 0 FC Osaka
15 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 0 Ryukyu
Page 1 of 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Away) 10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Aug
Verdy
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
19 Aug
Tohoku Gakuin University
1 : 3 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
