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Renown vs Blue Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renown host Blue Star in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Renown at 1.96 goals for, 0.93 against; Blue Star at 1.67 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Renown have won 2 to Blue Star's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.69 - 1.19) back Renown to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Renown
20%
Draws
51%
Blue Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blue Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renown lately — more wins on the board than Blue Star.
  • Blue Star are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Renown Clean Sheet 20%
Blue Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renown Blue Star
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.96 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Blue Star vs Renown
2:3
Dec 6, 2021 Super League
Renown vs Blue Star
0:0
Jan 13, 2019 Super League
Blue Star vs Renown
1:0
Nov 19, 2017 Super League
Renown vs Blue Star
4:0
Sep 3, 2016 Super League
Renown vs Blue Star
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renown 16 / 100
Blue Star 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renown Blue Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blue Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renown found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Blue Star conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Renown has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renown VS Blue Star
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Renown

(Home)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
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Blue Star

(Away)
14 Sept
Ratnam SC
1 : 3
Blue Star
05 Sept
Defenders FC
1 : 2
Blue Star
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
23 Aug
Blue Star
0 : 2
Colombo
18 Aug
New Young's SC
0 : 5
Blue Star
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