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Renown vs Red Star

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rahman M.
68' Event
Rifak M.
84' Event
Aakib M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Red Star in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Renown
6%
Draws
4%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Renown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Red Star haven't matched Renown's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Renown's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Renown Clean Sheet 20%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renown Red Star
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
1:2
Dec 17, 2021 Super League
Red Star vs Renown
1:3
Dec 22, 2018 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rifak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renown 85 / 100
Red Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renown Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renown went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Renown found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Red Star has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Renown VS Red Star
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saunders33008:29
2Maligawatte Youth31115:34
3New Star31024:83
4Blue Star30122:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Renown320111:36
2Java Lane32016:56
3Red Star32014:36
4Moragasmulla30034:140