Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renown vs Red Star

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2025
Renown Logo

Renown

1 - 2
FT
Red Star Logo

Red Star

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rahman M.
68' Event
Rifak M.
84' Event
Aakib M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Red Star in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Renown
35%
Draws
45%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Star haven't matched Renown's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Red Star's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Renown Clean Sheet 20%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renown Red Star
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.94 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
1:2
Dec 17, 2021 Super League
Red Star vs Renown
1:3
Dec 22, 2018 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rifak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renown 10 / 100
Red Star 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renown Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renown scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Red Star conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Renown remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Renown VS Red Star
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Renown

(Home)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
Page 1 of 7

Red Star

(Away)
12 Sept
Red Star
2 : 2
Colombo
06 Sept
Ratnam SC
0 : 3
Red Star
30 Aug
Red Star
5 : 1
Defenders FC
24 Aug
Red Star
1 : 0
Blue Eagles
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saunders 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Maligawatte Youth 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 New Star 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Blue Star 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Super League 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renown 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
2 Java Lane 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Red Star 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 Moragasmulla 3 0 0 3 4:14 0
Promotion - Super League 2025 (Play Offs)