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Renown vs UP Country Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renown host UP Country Lions in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. UP Country Lions have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Renown have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.87. Head-to-head, Renown have won 3 to UP Country Lions's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.44, favoring UP Country Lions. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Renown
15%
Draws
67%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • UP Country Lions have won more games recently than Renown.
  • UP Country Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Renown Clean Sheet 10%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renown UP Country Lions
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.87 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Super League
Renown vs UP Country Lions
0:2
Jan 7, 2022 Super League
Renown vs UP Country Lions
1:0
Jan 16, 2019 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Renown
4:1
Sep 9, 2017 Super League
Renown vs UP Country Lions
4:1
Sep 26, 2015 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Renown
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renown 10 / 100
UP Country Lions 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renown UP Country Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Country Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renown scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

UP Country Lions has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Renown remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Renown VS UP Country Lions
2.63 Goals Scored 4.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Renown

(Home)
10 Oct
Renown
0 : 2
Red Star
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
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UP Country Lions

(Away)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
28 Aug
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
22 Aug
UP Country Lions
6 : 0
New Young's SC
16 Aug
Ratnam SC
1 : 5
UP Country Lions
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