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Rentistas vs Bella Vista

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023 Complejo Rentistas
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Nicolini I.
76'
Baran A.

AI Match Summary

Rentistas host Bella Vista in the Segunda Division 2023. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Rentistas have averaged 1 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Bella Vista's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Rentistas slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2023, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.10 - 1.31) back Rentistas to edge this. Rentistas in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rentistas
6%
Draws
4%
Bella Vista
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rentistas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bella Vista.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Rentistas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda Division 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 68%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rentistas Bella Vista
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2023 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Bella Vista
0:1
Jun 12, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Rentistas
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Bella Vista
2:0
Sep 15, 2019 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Rentistas
1:0
Jun 8, 2019 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Bella Vista
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rentistas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bella Vista Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolini I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rentistas 95 / 100
Bella Vista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rentistas Bella Vista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rentistas scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Bella Vista let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Rentistas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bella Vista lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rentistas VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%