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Rentistas vs Bella Vista Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023 Complejo Rentistas, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Nicolini I.
76'
Baran A.

AI Match Summary

Bella Vista in this Segunda Division 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bella Vista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rentistas
15%
Draws
26%
Bella Vista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rentistas lately — more wins on the board than Bella Vista.
  • Model gives Rentistas a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 68%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rentistas Bella Vista
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.09 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2023 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Bella Vista
0:1
Jun 12, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Rentistas
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Bella Vista
2:0
Sep 15, 2019 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Rentistas
1:0
Jun 8, 2019 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Bella Vista
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rentistas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Bella Vista Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolini I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rentistas 95 / 100
Bella Vista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rentistas Bella Vista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rentistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bella Vista has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Rentistas's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Rentistas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Bella Vista has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rentistas VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rentistas

(Home)
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
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Bella Vista

(Away)
09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2
Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0
Juventud
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0
Bella Vista
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1
Atenas
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0
Bella Vista
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