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Rentistas vs Fenix Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Complejo Rentistas, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Fernandez F.
74'
Poiso J.
86' Event
Mallet N.

AI Match Summary

Rentistas in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rentistas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Rentistas
15%
Draws
37%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rentistas lately — more wins on the board than Fenix.
  • Rentistas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rentistas Fenix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Fenix
2:1
May 31, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Rentistas
1:1
Oct 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Fenix
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Rentistas
0:0
Oct 15, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Rentistas vs Fenix
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rentistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mallet N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bittencourt D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rentistas 50 / 100
Fenix 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rentistas Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rentistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rentistas found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Fenix let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Rentistas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rentistas VS Fenix
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rentistas

(Home)
03 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 1
Huracan FC
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
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Fenix

(Away)
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)