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Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Alvarez F.
83'
Poiso J.
90' Event
Sanchez C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Rentistas
20%
Draws
36%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia's 1.21 goals per match outpaces what Rentistas have produced (1.17).
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Rentistas taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Plaza Colonia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rentistas Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia
2:1
Aug 10, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Rentistas
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Plaza Colonia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rentistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rentistas 59 / 100
Plaza Colonia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rentistas Plaza Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rentistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rentistas scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Plaza Colonia let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Rentistas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rentistas VS Plaza Colonia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rentistas

(Home)
10 Oct
Paysandu FC
2 : 1
Rentistas
03 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 1
Huracan FC
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

Plaza Colonia

(Away)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Wanderers 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)