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Resende U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Euder
(Penalty)
52' Event
Mitson E.
73'
Wiliver

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Resende U20
15%
Draws
54%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Resende U20 haven't matched Vasco U20's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Vasco U20 taking it.
  • Vasco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Resende U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Resende U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
May 10, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Resende U20
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Vasco U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende U20 10 / 100
Vasco U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende U20 Vasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resende U20 scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vasco U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Resende U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vasco U20
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende U20

(Home)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 3
Resende U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Resende U20
18 Mar
Resende U20
1 : 0
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 5

Vasco U20

(Away)
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
04 Sept
Palmeiras U20
0 : 2
Vasco U20
28 Aug
Vasco U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Botafogo RJ U20 6
Flamengo RJ U20 1
Resende U20 3
Vasco U20 5
Final
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Vasco U20 1