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Resende vs Marica Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Resende Logo

Resende

4 - 0
FT
Marica Logo

Marica

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Matheus Goiano
13' Event
Matheus Goiano
45' Event
Ramon Pereira
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Resende in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Resende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Resende
30%
Draws
47%
Marica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Resende haven't matched Marica's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Resende Clean Sheet 20%
Marica Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resende Marica
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Carioca 2
Marica vs Resende
1:1
Jul 11, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Marica
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Marica
4:0
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Marica vs Resende
1:0
Jul 26, 2023 Carioca 2
Resende vs Marica
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Goiano
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ramon Pereira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Marica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resende 36 / 100
Marica 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resende Marica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resende's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Marica conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Resende remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Resende VS Marica
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Resende

(Home)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

Marica

(Away)
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0
Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)