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Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay La Arboleda, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Riveros E.
Penalty Missed
85' Event
Morel J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Resistencia
15%
Draws
64%
Cerro Porteno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Resistencia haven't matched Cerro Porteno's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cerro Porteno have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Resistencia Clean Sheet 17%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resistencia Cerro Porteno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Resistencia
4:1
Jul 30, 2023 Copa de Primera
Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno
0:1
May 7, 2023 Copa de Primera
Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno
1:2
Feb 24, 2023 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Resistencia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resistencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Morel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resistencia 31 / 100
Cerro Porteno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resistencia Cerro Porteno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Resistencia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Cerro Porteno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Resistencia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Resistencia VS Cerro Porteno
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Resistencia

(Home)
02 Oct
Encarnacion FC
0 : 3
Resistencia
27 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
Deportivo Santani
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
12 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
3 de Noviembre
08 Sept
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1
Resistencia
Page 1 of 6

Cerro Porteno

(Away)
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -