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Resistencia vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Escobar F.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Galeano L.
88'
Murillo J.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Resistencia and Sportivo Carapegua finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Resistencia
22%
Draws
18%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Resistencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Resistencia come out ahead of Sportivo Carapegua on wins alone.
  • Resistencia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Resistencia Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Resistencia Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Aug 21, 2025 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
May 15, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Resistencia
2:1
Aug 12, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Resistencia
2:1
May 6, 2024 Division Intermedia
Resistencia vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Resistencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Resistencia 58 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Resistencia Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Resistencia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sportivo Carapegua conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Resistencia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Resistencia VS Sportivo Carapegua
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Resistencia

(Home)
18 Jul
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 0
Resistencia
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
12 de Junio
3 : 2
Resistencia
30 Jun
Resistencia
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
04 Jun
Deportivo Santani
3 : 0
Resistencia
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
06 Jun
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2
Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio15103222:1133
2Benjamin Aceval1594226:1331
3General Caballero JLM1583430:2127
4Deportivo Santani1573520:1424
5Sol de America1558218:1323
6Atletico Tembetary1564524:2122
7Deportivo Capiata1557321:1822
8Guairena FC1563617:1921
9Independiente FBC1555523:2220
10Sportivo Carapegua1554618:2719
11Resistencia1546516:2018
12Fernando de la Mora1553718:2418
13Tacuary1528519:2314
14Paraguari AC1534815:2013
15Encarnacion FC15321015:2311
163 de Noviembre1507813:267
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)