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Retford United vs North Ferriby United

England England

Northern Premier League 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Retford United play North Ferriby United in the Northern Premier League 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Retford United averaged 1.06 goals scored and 2.74 conceded. North Ferriby United averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Retford United won 1, North Ferriby United won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 15, 2011 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.34 for Retford United and 2.43 for North Ferriby United. This points to a Retford United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Retford United
20%
Draws
25%
North Ferriby United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Retford United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Retford United picked up more points recently compared to North Ferriby United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.34 vs 2.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Retford United Clean Sheet 10%
North Ferriby United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retford United North Ferriby United
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 6 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.06 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.74 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.86 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Retford United vs North Ferriby United
1:2
Sep 28, 2010 NPL Premier Division
North Ferriby United vs Retford United
0:1
Apr 24, 2010 NPL Premier Division
North Ferriby United vs Retford United
0:0
Aug 18, 2009 NPL Premier Division
Retford United vs North Ferriby United
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retford United 52 / 100
North Ferriby United 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retford United North Ferriby United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Retford United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Retford United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Retford United attacking → ← attacking North Ferriby United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retford United scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

North Ferriby United let in goals in 100% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Retford United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

North Ferriby United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 7
1.43 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Halifax423084108:3698
2Colwyn Bay422471167:5679
3Bradford PA422381184:5577
4United of Manchester422441476:5376
5North Ferriby United422271378:5173
6Buxton4220101271:5270
7Worksop422161572:5469
8Kendal422151680:7768
9Marine422071574:6467
10Chasetown422061676:5966
11Matlock422061674:5966
12Northwich Victoria421891566:5563
13Stocksbridge421761975:7557
14Ashton United421652157:6253
15Mickleover421572070:7652
16Whitby421491958:7751
17Nantwich421372268:9046
18Frickley4211112043:6844
19Burscough421272356:7343
20Hucknall4211102157:8043
21Ossett Town42952845:10332
22Retford United42523531:11117