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Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025

AO Ilisiakos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rethymniakos play AO Ilisiakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025. AO Ilisiakos are favorites here. Recently, Rethymniakos averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. AO Ilisiakos averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Rethymniakos won 0, AO Ilisiakos won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 16, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Rethymniakos and 1.30 for AO Ilisiakos. This points to a AO Ilisiakos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Rethymniakos

16%

Draws

66%

AO Ilisiakos

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: AO Ilisiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Rethymniakos picked up more points recently compared to AO Ilisiakos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Rethymniakos Clean Sheet 19%

AO Ilisiakos Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rethymniakos	AO Ilisiakos
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	12
Draws	4	6
Losses	22	14
Goals Scored	0.8	1.28
Goals Conceded	2.4	1.22

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Rethymniakos vs AO Ilisiakos

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 4 - 0

0:3

Nov 3, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

AO Ilisiakos vs Rethymniakos

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rethymniakos 20 / 100

AO Ilisiakos 62 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rethymniakos AO Ilisiakos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AO Ilisiakos Win (2)

Secondary Pick AO Ilisiakos & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rethymniakos attacking → ← attacking AO Ilisiakos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rethymniakos scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

AO Ilisiakos let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rethymniakos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

AO Ilisiakos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 42

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	32	22	8	2	61:22	74
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	32	22	7	3	62:20	73
3	Nea Ionia	32	20	7	5	54:25	67
4	Chaidari	32	15	9	8	36:24	54
5	Aris Petroupolis	32	15	7	10	39:31	52
6	Atsalenios FC	32	14	6	12	43:43	48
7	Giouchtas	32	14	5	13	39:40	47
8	AO Ilisiakos	32	14	5	13	50:41	47
9	Asteras Kaisarianis	32	13	8	11	32:24	47
10	Kyanos Astir Varis	32	12	9	11	40:33	45
11	Thyella Diastavroseos	32	11	11	10	34:32	44
12	Agios Nikolaos	32	13	5	14	34:36	44
13	Karavas	32	7	6	19	27:58	27
14	Mandraikos	32	6	8	18	34:51	26
15	Thiva F.C.	32	7	5	20	27:55	26
16	AO Tympakiou	32	5	6	21	33:60	21
17	Rethymniakos	32	4	4	24	25:75	16