Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Retro vs America RN

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Luiz Beserra
31'
Sub
Josiel In: Wellington
Out: Josiel
44' Event
Antonio

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Retro
20%
Draws
48%
America RN
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America RN lately — more wins on the board than Retro.
  • Model gives America RN a 48% chance of winning this.
  • America RN arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Retro, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Retro Clean Sheet 20%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro America RN
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Retro vs America RN
2:1
Aug 4, 2024 Serie D
Retro vs America RN
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Serie D
America RN vs Retro
1:1
Dec 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Retro vs America RN
0:1
Jun 26, 2022 Serie D
Retro vs America RN
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retro Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Beserra
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

America RN Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro 24 / 100
America RN 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro America RN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Retro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: America RN conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Retro VS America RN
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Retro

(Home)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
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America RN

(Away)
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
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