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Retro vs Centro Limoeirense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2019 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2019 game between Retro and Centro Limoeirense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Retro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Retro
20%
Draws
34%
Centro Limoeirense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Centro Limoeirense haven't matched Retro's recent run of results.
  • Retro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Retro Clean Sheet 19%
Centro Limoeirense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro Centro Limoeirense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs Centro Limoeirense
4:1
Aug 10, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs Centro Limoeirense
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro 85 / 100
Centro Limoeirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro Centro Limoeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Retro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Centro Limoeirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Retro scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Retro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Retro VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Retro

(Home)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
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Centro Limoeirense

(Away)
25 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 1
Centro Limoeirense
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
America PE
5 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
04 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 0
Ipojuca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 Retro 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
3 Decisao 5 2 2 1 4:1 8
4 CA Porto 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
5 Ibis Sport Club 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Centro Limoeirense 5 1 0 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2019 (Third stage)