Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Retro vs Sport Recife

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Pedro Martins
46'
Sub
Santos Andrade D. In: Ericson
Out: Santos Andrade D.
57' Event
Gustavo Maia

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Retro
20%
Draws
34%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Retro haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Retro's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Sport Recife arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sport Recife, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sport Recife have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Retro Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro Sport Recife
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.23 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sport Recife vs Retro
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
3:2
Feb 12, 2026 Pernambucano
Retro vs Sport Recife
0:1
Jan 15, 2026 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
2:0
Apr 3, 2025 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Maia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro 42 / 100
Sport Recife 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro Sport Recife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Retro scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sport Recife conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Retro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Retro VS Sport Recife
3 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Retro

(Home)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
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Sport Recife

(Away)
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Sport Recife
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nautico -
TBD -
Santa Cruz 3
Decisao 1
Sport Recife -
TBD -
Retro 3
Maguary 2
Semi-finals
Nautico 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sport Recife 4
Retro 2
Final
Nautico 3
Sport Recife 6