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Retro vs Sport Recife

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Arena Pernambuco
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Pedro Martins
46'
Sub
Santos Andrade D. In: Ericson
Out: Santos Andrade D.
57' Event
Gustavo Maia

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano game between Retro and Sport Recife finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Recife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Retro
28%
Draws
22%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Retro haven't matched Sport Recife's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Retro's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Pernambucano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sport Recife have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Retro Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retro Sport Recife
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Sport Recife vs Retro
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
3:2
Feb 12, 2026 Pernambucano
Retro vs Sport Recife
0:1
Jan 15, 2026 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
2:0
Apr 3, 2025 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Retro
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Maia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retro 59 / 100
Sport Recife 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retro Sport Recife

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Retro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sport Recife let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Retro VS Sport Recife
1.2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.88
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nautico-
TBD-
Santa Cruz3
Decisao1
Sport Recife-
TBD-
Retro3
Maguary2
Semi-finals
Nautico3
Santa Cruz0
Sport Recife4
Retro2
Final
Nautico3
Sport Recife6