Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Retz vs Red Star Penzing

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dogan I.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Sturzeis R.
45' Event
Ried M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Retz and Red Star Penzing finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Star Penzing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Retz
28%
Draws
50%
Red Star Penzing
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Red Star Penzing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Retz haven't matched Red Star Penzing's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Red Star Penzing a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Retz Clean Sheet 15%
Red Star Penzing Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retz Red Star Penzing
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Retz vs Red Star Penzing
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Red Star Penzing vs Retz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Retz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Red Star Penzing Compare

Top Goalscorer Sturzeis R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ried M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retz 23 / 100
Red Star Penzing 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retz Red Star Penzing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Retz scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Red Star Penzing conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Retz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Retz VS Red Star Penzing
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Retz

(Home)
18 Jul
Retz
3 : 1
Lac Inter
06 Jun
Retz
2 : 1
Favoritner
30 May
Sportunion Mauer
1 : 2
Retz
16 May
Retz
0 : 0
Gloggnitz
09 May
Leobendorf
1 : 0
Retz
Page 1 of 6

Red Star Penzing

(Away)
21 Jul
Langenrohr
2 : 4
Red Star Penzing
12 Jun
First Vienna (Am)
1 : 0
Red Star Penzing
06 Jun
A XIII-Auhof Center
3 : 4
Red Star Penzing
29 May
Red Star Penzing
3 : 0
WAF Brigittenau
22 May
Red Star Penzing
3 : 0
Slovan HAC
Page 1 of 6