Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Retz vs St. Polten (Am)

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Niederosterreich game between Retz and St. Polten (Am) finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Retz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Retz
15%
Draws
0%
St. Polten (Am)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Retz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Retz come out ahead of St. Polten (Am) on wins alone.
  • Model gives Retz a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Niederosterreich form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Retz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Retz Clean Sheet 20%
St. Polten (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Retz St. Polten (Am)
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Niederosterreich
Retz vs St. Polten (Am)
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Niederosterreich
Retz vs St. Polten (Am)
3:0
Aug 20, 2024 Niederosterreich
St. Polten (Am) vs Retz
0:3
Apr 13, 2024 Niederosterreich
St. Polten (Am) vs Retz
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Niederosterreich
Retz vs St. Polten (Am)
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Retz 85 / 100
St. Polten (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Retz St. Polten (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Retz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Polten (Am)'s recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Retz's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Polten (Am) let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Retz VS St. Polten (Am)
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Retz

(Home)
18 Sept
Ebreichsdorf
4 : 2
Retz
12 Sept
Retz
3 : 1
St. Polten (Am)
05 Sept
ASK Ybbs
1 : 0
Retz
29 Aug
Retz
3 : 1
Hohenau
21 Aug
Ardagger
1 : 3
Retz
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St. Polten (Am)

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Peter in der Au
1 : 0
St. Polten (Am)
12 Sept
Retz
3 : 1
St. Polten (Am)
05 Sept
St. Polten (Am)
0 : 2
Wiener Neustadt
28 Aug
Admira (Am)
3 : 2
St. Polten (Am)
22 Aug
St. Polten (Am)
0 : 1
Korneuburg
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