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Reynir vs Fjardabyggd

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Reynir play Fjardabyggd in the Division 2 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Reynir averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Fjardabyggd averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. In past meetings, Reynir won 2, Fjardabyggd won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 11, 2021 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Reynir and 1.69 for Fjardabyggd. This points to a Reynir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Reynir
22%
Draws
26%
Fjardabyggd
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Reynir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Reynir picked up more points recently compared to Fjardabyggd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Reynir Clean Sheet 13%
Fjardabyggd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reynir Fjardabyggd
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.56 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2021 Division 2
Reynir vs Fjardabyggd
5:3
Jul 4, 2021 Division 2
Fjardabyggd vs Reynir
2:2
Sep 20, 2014 Division 2
Reynir vs Fjardabyggd
2:2
Jul 12, 2014 Division 2
Fjardabyggd vs Reynir
3:2
Sep 22, 2012 Division 2
Reynir vs Fjardabyggd
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reynir Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidarsson S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Prskalo I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fjardabyggd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendes V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sofusson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reynir 49 / 100
Fjardabyggd 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reynir Fjardabyggd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Reynir or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Reynir attacking → ← attacking Fjardabyggd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reynir scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Fjardabyggd let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Reynir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fjardabyggd lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 14
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Throttur Vogar22126443:2242
2KV Reykjavik22125540:2941
3Volsungur22124644:3540
4Magni22107545:3637
5Fjallabyggd22105742:3335
6Njardvik2288645:2932
7Reynir2295849:4532
8IR Reykjavik2287740:3631
9Haukar2285946:4129
10Leiknir Faskruds22731231:4524
11Fjardabyggd22251517:6211
12Kari22161527:569