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Reynir vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Smarason B.
Own Goal
15' Event
Valgeirsson A.
44'
Sanchez A.

AI Match Summary

KFG Gardabaer in this Division 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KFG Gardabaer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Reynir
15%
Draws
57%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KFG Gardabaer lately — more wins on the board than Reynir.
  • KFG Gardabaer are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Reynir Clean Sheet 10%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reynir KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.43 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Reynir
2:3
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2
Reynir vs KFG Gardabaer
1:2
Jul 3, 2024 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Reynir
5:4
Apr 12, 2019 Icelandic Cup
KFG Gardabaer vs Reynir
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reynir Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Valgeirsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reynir 22 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reynir KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Reynir scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

KFG Gardabaer's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Reynir VS KFG Gardabaer
2 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Reynir

(Home)
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2
Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0
Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7
Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1
Reynir
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5
Grindavik
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KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Selfoss 22 16 3 3 51:27 51
2 Volsungur 22 13 4 5 50:29 43
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 58:33 42
4 Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 50:30 42
5 KFA 22 11 2 9 52:46 35
6 Haukar 22 9 3 10 40:42 30
7 Hottur / Huginn 22 9 3 10 41:50 30
8 Aegir 22 6 7 9 29:35 25
9 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:43 23
10 Kormakur/Hvot 22 5 4 13 19:42 19
11 Fjallabyggd 22 5 3 14 26:50 18
12 Reynir 22 4 3 15 28:55 15
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