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Rezekne vs Augsdaugavas

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Nakotnes liga 2025 OC Rēzekne Mākslīgais Laukums, Rēzekne
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Match Events

38' Event
Hscanovics R.
53'
Plotka R.
63'
Sub
Skrinda N. In: Rascevskis R.
Out: Skrinda N.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Rezekne and Augsdaugavas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rezekne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rezekne
15%
Draws
85%
Augsdaugavas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augsdaugavas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Augsdaugavas haven't matched Rezekne's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne Augsdaugavas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.17 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.7 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs Rezekne
0:5
May 18, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Augsdaugavas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Hscanovics R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Augsdaugavas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 30 / 100
Augsdaugavas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne Augsdaugavas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsdaugavas let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Rezekne scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Augsdaugavas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
01 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Rezekne
Page 1 of 6

Augsdaugavas

(Away)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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