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Rezekne vs FK Smiltene - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rezekne host FK Smiltene in the 1. Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. FK Smiltene have shipped 2.57 goals a game lately, while Rezekne have conceded 3 and scored 0.9. Head-to-head, Rezekne have won 1 to FK Smiltene's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.69 - 2.88) back FK Smiltene to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Rezekne
20%
Draws
73%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Rezekne haven't matched FK Smiltene's recent run of results.
  • FK Smiltene are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne FK Smiltene
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Rezekne
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Rezekne
2:2
Jul 6, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs FK Smiltene
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Rezekne
3:3
May 25, 2024 1. Liga
Rezekne vs FK Smiltene
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 10 / 100
FK Smiltene 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne FK Smiltene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Smiltene Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Rezekne found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Rezekne has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS FK Smiltene
0.75 Goals Scored 2
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
18 Oct
Rezekne
0 : 1
RFS 2
11 Oct
Riga FC 2
5 : 0
Rezekne
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
Page 1 of 6

FK Smiltene

(Away)
17 Oct
FK Smiltene
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
11 Oct
FK Smiltene
3 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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