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Rezekne vs Valmiera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Doudou P.
43' Event
Marjuscenko V.
58' Event
Dembele M.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Rezekne and Valmiera finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Rezekne
35%
Draws
56%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Valmiera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Valmiera have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezekne Valmiera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 0.9 2.55
Goals Conceded 3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Valmiera
1:6
Apr 26, 2026 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Rezekne
3:1
Aug 26, 2017 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Rezekne
5:3
May 7, 2017 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Valmiera
0:4
Aug 27, 2016 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Rezekne
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Marjuscenko V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Doudou P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezekne 10 / 100
Valmiera 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezekne Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Rezekne's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Valmiera has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Rezekne remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rezekne VS Valmiera
0.75 Goals Scored 3.13
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
18 Oct
Rezekne
0 : 1
RFS 2
11 Oct
Riga FC 2
5 : 0
Rezekne
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
18 Oct
Valmiera
2 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
10 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Super Nova 2 24 7 8 9 33:36 29
9 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 24 5 4 15 31:68 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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