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Rezzato vs Caravaggio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 game between Rezzato and Caravaggio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rezzato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Rezzato
20%
Draws
36%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rezzato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rezzato come out ahead of Caravaggio on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rezzato a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rezzato have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rezzato Clean Sheet 19%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rezzato Caravaggio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.6 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Rezzato vs Caravaggio
2:0
Dec 16, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Rezzato
1:2
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Rezzato vs Caravaggio
1:0
Oct 7, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Rezzato
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rezzato 76 / 100
Caravaggio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rezzato Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rezzato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezzato scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Caravaggio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Rezzato went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caravaggio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezzato

(Home)
12 May
Pro Sesto
4 : 2
Rezzato
05 May
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Rezzato
28 Apr
Rezzato
2 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Apr
Rezzato
3 : 4
Pro Sesto
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
Page 1 of 6

Caravaggio

(Away)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)