Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFC Liege vs Dender

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Stade de Rocourt, Liège
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Viltard M.
37'
Wilmots R.
43' Event
Paulet S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Dender in this Challenger Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dender.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
RFC Liege
20%
Draws
56%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • RFC Liege have won more games recently than Dender.
  • 24% — that's where the model lands on RFC Liege taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
RFC Liege Clean Sheet 68%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFC Liege Dender
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.83 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Dender
1:2
Dec 15, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Dender vs RFC Liege
0:0
Aug 12, 2023 Challenger Pro League
RFC Liege vs Dender
0:1
May 22, 2022 National Division 1
RFC Liege vs Dender
1:0
May 11, 2022 National Division 1
Dender vs RFC Liege
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFC Liege Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Viltard M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFC Liege 68 / 100
Dender 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFC Liege Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFC Liege Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RFC Liege scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Dender has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

RFC Liege has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

RFC Liege VS Dender
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

RFC Liege

(Home)
13 Sept
RFC Liege
4 : 4
Club Brugge U23
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
23 Aug
Genk U23
2 : 3
RFC Liege
17 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Francs Borains
Page 1 of 6

Dender

(Away)
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
22 Aug
Dender
2 : 0
Beerschot VA
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 Dender 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
3 Virton 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
4 Eupen 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
5 Francs Borains 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
6 Sporting Lokeren 5 3 0 2 12:10 9
7 Hasselt 5 3 0 2 4:6 9
8 Club Brugge U23 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
9 Genk U23 5 2 0 3 10:12 6
10 RFC Liege 5 1 2 2 9:10 5
11 Lierse SK 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
12 Gent U23 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
13 Patro Eisden 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
14 RFC Seraing 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
15 Anderlecht U23 5 0 1 4 5:12 1
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