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RFK/RFS vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Stuglis E.
41' Event
Pavlovskis A.
47' Event
Anohins I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-11, with Riga Mariners advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
RFK/RFS
6%
Draws
90%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riga Mariners come out ahead of RFK/RFS on wins alone.
  • Riga Mariners are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Riga Mariners arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga Mariners, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
RFK/RFS Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFK/RFS Riga Mariners
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 17
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 11 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 11.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
RFK/RFS vs Riga Mariners
0:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFK/RFS Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlovskis A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Bokans E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFK/RFS 10 / 100
Riga Mariners 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFK/RFS Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 11.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Riga Mariners conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

RFK/RFS found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (1 games).

Difficult form: Riga Mariners registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFK/RFS VS Riga Mariners
0 Goals Scored 1.5
11 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RFK/RFS

(Home)
30 May
RFK/RFS
0 : 11
Riga Mariners

Riga Mariners

(Away)
18 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Riga Mariners
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
04 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 4
Riga Mariners
27 Jun
Riga Mariners
2 : 0
Marupe
20 Jun
Riga Mariners
1 : 0
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS0
Riga Mariners11
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
LSPA1
FK Smiltene5
Valmiera2
Skanste0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
JFC Viola1
Marupe2
Valka1
Aliance5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
Upesciema Warriors0
JFK Ventspils3
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Lielupe0
FK Metta6
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
Saldus NSS0
Salaspils FK4
Speks6
FK Union / JFK Daugava0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Smiltene1
Valmiera4
TBD-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Marupe4
Aliance2
TBD-
Grobina-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Metta5
Kekava-Auda0
Salaspils FK1
Speks3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners3
BFC Daugavpils4
Valmiera2
Ogre United4
FK Auda Riga1
FK Liepaja0
Marupe0
Grobina1
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
RFS2
Jelgava0
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
FK Metta3
Speks1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
Grobina-
Super Nova-
RFS-
Riga FC-
FK Metta-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-