Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Stuglis E.
41'
41'
Pavlovskis A.
47'
47'
Anohins I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-11. The second leg ended 0-11.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: RFK/RFS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Riga Mariners come out ahead of RFK/RFS on wins alone.
- Riga Mariners are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Riga Mariners arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Riga Mariners, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
RFK/RFS Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RFK/RFS | Riga Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 1 | 29 |
| Wins | 0 | 18 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 11 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
RFK/RFS vs Riga Mariners
0:11
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RFK/RFS Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Riga Mariners Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavlovskis A.
4 Goals Assists Leader Bokans E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RFK/RFS 10 / 100
Riga Mariners 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RFK/RFS Riga Mariners
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Riga Mariners Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 11.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Riga Mariners conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
RFK/RFS found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (1 games).
Scoring Trends
RFK/RFS VS Riga Mariners
0 Goals Scored 3.13
11 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
RFK/RFS
(Home) 30 May
RFK/RFS
0 : 11 Riga Mariners
30 May
RFK/RFS
0 : 11 Riga Mariners
Riga Mariners
(Away) 05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0 Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1 RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3 Riga Mariners
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2 Tukums 2000 2
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3 Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 6
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3 Riga Mariners
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3 Riga Mariners
18 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1 Riga Mariners
04 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 4 Riga Mariners
14 Jun
Skanste
0 : 2 Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
