Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS 2 vs AFA Olaine

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pantelejevs K.
28'
Aivars E.
44' Event
Sylla M.
Assist: Sibass R.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between RFS 2 and AFA Olaine finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFA Olaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
RFS 2
15%
Draws
59%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFA Olaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • AFA Olaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on AFA Olaine taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 13%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS 2 AFA Olaine
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.71 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.48 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs AFA Olaine
1:2
May 11, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs RFS 2
3:3
Aug 10, 2024 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs AFA Olaine
3:1
Apr 14, 2024 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs RFS 2
1:3
Nov 4, 2023 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs RFS 2
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Pantelejevs K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butlers R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 2 22 / 100
AFA Olaine 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS 2 AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFA Olaine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RFS 2 scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: AFA Olaine conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Recent resilience: RFS 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFS 2 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
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AFA Olaine

(Away)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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