Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS 2 vs Valmiera 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024 LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Rudens K.
63'
Sub
Blaubergs M. In: Buss R.
Out: Blaubergs M.
63'
Sub
Tkacenko A. In: Stupelis O.
Out: Tkacenko A.

AI Match Summary

RFS 2 in this 1. Liga 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
RFS 2
20%
Draws
50%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valmiera 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmiera 2 lately — more wins on the board than RFS 2.
  • Win probability leans Valmiera 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
RFS 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS 2 Valmiera 2
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Valmiera 2
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs RFS 2
1:1
Sep 29, 2023 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Valmiera 2
2:2
May 28, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs RFS 2
1:1
Oct 28, 2022 1. Liga
RFS 2 vs Valmiera 2
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Derkach M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndjiki R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Valmiera 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 2 10 / 100
Valmiera 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS 2 Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS 2 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Valmiera 2 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

RFS 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RFS 2 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
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Valmiera 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)