Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS vs Glentoran

Europe Europe

Conference League LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Saidy M.
11'
Sub
Larmour D. In: Kane M.
Out: Larmour D.
22'
Ibsen Rossi Z.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with RFS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
RFS
17%
Draws
13%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Glentoran on wins alone.
  • RFS are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • RFS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor RFS, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
RFS Clean Sheet 18%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Glentoran
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 26 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 3 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
RFS vs Glentoran
2:0
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Glentoran vs RFS
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Saidy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikaunieks J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Glentoran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 67 / 100
Glentoran 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

RFS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Glentoran let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Glentoran
3 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
12 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Jelgava
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
RFS
1 : 1
FK Auda Riga
30 Jun
RFS
3 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 7

Glentoran

(Away)
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
01 Jul
Glentoran
0 : 4
Kilmarnock
26 Jun
East Belfast
1 : 8
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
Brann-
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
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TBD-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
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Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
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FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
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TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
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Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
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Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
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Sutjeska-
Flora-
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TNS-
Floriana-
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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