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Stadium Background

RFS vs BFC Daugavpils

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Zelenkovs D.
Assist: Ndjiki R.
30'
Ayebadiepreye D.
33'
Pinaskins E.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between RFS and BFC Daugavpils finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
RFS
35%
Draws
25%
BFC Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of BFC Daugavpils on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans RFS's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and RFS have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS BFC Daugavpils
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs BFC Daugavpils
3:1
May 13, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs RFS
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs BFC Daugavpils
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs BFC Daugavpils
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Virsliga
RFS vs BFC Daugavpils
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Zelenkovs D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lipuscek Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

BFC Daugavpils Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 59 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS BFC Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

BFC Daugavpils's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

RFS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS BFC Daugavpils
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
23 Aug
RFS
3 : 3
Riga FC
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1
RFS
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BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1
Ogre United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 22 4 2 68:20 70
2 Riga FC 28 20 6 2 82:28 66
3 FK Auda Riga 28 17 5 6 45:27 56
4 FK Liepaja 29 12 5 12 39:41 41
5 BFC Daugavpils 29 10 8 11 34:33 38
6 Super Nova 27 9 5 13 28:38 32
7 Jelgava 29 8 7 14 32:48 31
8 Grobina 29 5 9 15 20:51 24
9 Tukums 2000 29 5 8 16 43:59 23
10 Ogre United 28 3 5 20 27:73 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)