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RFS vs Riga FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
RFS Logo

RFS

3 - 3
FT
Riga FC Logo

Riga FC

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Panic S.
27' Event
Badamosi M.
(Penalty)
36'
Sub
Korac D. In: Balde A.
Out: Korac D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between RFS and Riga FC finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
RFS
35%
Draws
38%
Riga FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • RFS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
RFS Clean Sheet 14%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Riga FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.33 2.31
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Latvian Cup
RFS vs Riga FC
2:3
Aug 23, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Riga FC
3:3
Jun 17, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs RFS
2:1
Apr 28, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Riga FC
3:3
Nov 7, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs RFS
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndjiki R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lipuscek Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Ferreira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 30 / 100
Riga FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Riga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Riga FC let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

RFS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Riga FC
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 6

Riga FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)