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RFS vs Riga FC

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
RFS Logo

RFS

2 - 3
FT
Riga FC Logo

Riga FC

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Prenga H.
4' Event
Reginaldo Ramires
46'
Sub
Wassom K. In: Oulad M'Hand S.
Out: Wassom K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
RFS
35%
Draws
32%
Riga FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • RFS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • RFS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Riga FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
RFS Clean Sheet 13%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Riga FC
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 24 23
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2.31 2.7
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Latvian Cup
RFS vs Riga FC
2:3
Aug 23, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Riga FC
3:3
Jun 17, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs RFS
2:1
Apr 28, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Riga FC
3:3
Nov 7, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs RFS
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Prenga H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filipovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Reginaldo Ramires
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oulad M'Hand S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 39 / 100
Riga FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Riga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RFS scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Riga FC conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: RFS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Riga FC
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
23 Aug
RFS
3 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 7

Riga FC

(Away)
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -