Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Prenga H.
4'
4'
Reginaldo Ramires
46'
46'
Sub
Wassom K. In: Oulad M'Hand S.
Out: Wassom K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
30%
26%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RFS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- RFS carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
- RFS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Riga FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
RFS Clean Sheet 20%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RFS | Riga FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 2.28 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Latvian Cup
RFS vs Riga FC
2:3
Aug 23, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Riga FC
3:3
Jun 17, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs RFS
2:1
Apr 28, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Riga FC
3:3
Nov 7, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs RFS
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RFS Compare
Top Goalscorer Prenga H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Filipovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Riga FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Reginaldo Ramires
2 Goals Assists Leader Oulad M'Hand S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RFS 85 / 100
Riga FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RFS Riga FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: RFS scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: RFS remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Riga FC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
RFS VS Riga FC
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
RFS
(Home) 01 Nov
RFS
3 : 0 Grobina
25 Oct
Super Nova
0 : 3 RFS
19 Oct
RFS
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
15 Oct
RFS
4 : 0 Super Nova
11 Oct
RFS
4 : 2 Jelgava
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
RFS
3 : 0 Grobina
19 Oct
RFS
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
15 Oct
RFS
4 : 0 Super Nova
11 Oct
RFS
4 : 2 Jelgava
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 3
Riga FC
(Away) 05 Nov
Riga FC
1 : 1 Jablonec
01 Nov
Ogre United
0 : 0 Riga FC
26 Oct
Grobina
2 : 5 Riga FC
22 Oct
Pafos
1 : 1 Riga FC
18 Oct
Riga FC
2 : 1 Super Nova
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Ogre United
0 : 0 Riga FC
26 Oct
Grobina
2 : 5 Riga FC
22 Oct
Pafos
1 : 1 Riga FC
10 Oct
Tukums 2000
0 : 2 Riga FC
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2 Riga FC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
