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RFS vs Super Nova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RFS host Super Nova in the Virsliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Super Nova have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while RFS have conceded 0.79 and scored 2.24. Head-to-head, RFS have won 5 to Super Nova's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.94) point toward RFS. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
RFS
30%
Draws
33%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RFS lately — more wins on the board than Super Nova.
  • Win probability leans RFS's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and RFS have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
RFS Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Super Nova
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 25 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.24 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Latvian Cup
Super Nova vs RFS
0:1
May 29, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Super Nova
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs Super Nova
5:2
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 42 / 100
Super Nova 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Super Nova conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: RFS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Super Nova
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
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Super Nova

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)