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RFS vs Tukums 2000 Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RFS host Tukums 2000 in the Virsliga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: RFS at 2.24 goals for, 0.79 against; Tukums 2000 at 1.45 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor RFS slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.94, favoring RFS. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
RFS
30%
Draws
23%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Tukums 2000 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RFS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
RFS Clean Sheet 20%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Tukums 2000
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 25 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
0:1
May 25, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Tukums 2000
3:1
Apr 13, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
2:4
Jul 26, 2025 Virsliga
RFS vs Tukums 2000
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 85 / 100
Tukums 2000 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Tukums 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS scored in 94% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Tukums 2000 conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

RFS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Tukums 2000
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

Tukums 2000

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)