Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS vs Tukums 2000

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lemajic D.
Assist: Savalnieks R.
22' Event
Baturins I.
Own Goal
37'
Sub
Odisharia L. In: Talla M.
Out: Odisharia L.

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
RFS
6%
Draws
4%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RFS lately — more wins on the board than Tukums 2000.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and RFS have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Tukums 2000
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 25 4
Draws 2 11
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Tukums 2000
3:1
Apr 13, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
2:4
Jul 26, 2025 Virsliga
RFS vs Tukums 2000
6:2
May 25, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemajic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lipuscek Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tukums 2000 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oloko E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 95 / 100
Tukums 2000 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Tukums 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tukums 2000 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

RFS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Tukums 2000
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 1
RFS
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
12 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Jelgava
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
RFS
1 : 1
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6

Tukums 2000

(Away)
18 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 1
Tukums 2000
11 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
05 Jul
Grobina
3 : 1
Tukums 2000
01 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
26 Jun
Ogre United
3 : 2
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RFS23192255:1659
2Riga FC23184168:2058
3FK Auda Riga22124637:2640
4BFC Daugavpils2386929:2930
5FK Liepaja22841028:3428
6Super Nova23831225:3527
7Jelgava23671024:3925
8Grobina23481115:3520
9Tukums 200023381238:4717
10Ogre United23341621:5913
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)