Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS vs Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Daugavas stadions, Riga
RFS Logo

RFS

Mon, Sep 20, 2021
VS
04:00 PM
Ventspils Logo

Ventspils

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RFS host Ventspils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. RFS are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: RFS at 2.58 goals for, 0.74 against; Ventspils at 1.08 for, 1.58 against. Head-to-head, RFS have won 1 to Ventspils's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.79 vs 0.81, favoring RFS. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
RFS
30%
Draws
29%
Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Ventspils on wins alone.
  • RFS are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
RFS Clean Sheet 20%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Ventspils
Matches Played 38 12
Wins 30 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.58 1.08
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2021 Virsliga
RFS vs Ventspils
0:0
Jun 29, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs RFS
0:0
May 10, 2021 Virsliga
RFS vs Ventspils
1:0
Mar 20, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs RFS
1:1
Oct 28, 2020 Latvian Cup
Ventspils vs RFS
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 36 / 100
Ventspils 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RFS scored in 97% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Ventspils conceded in 83% of 12 recent games.

Recent resilience: RFS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
23 Aug
RFS
3 : 3
Riga FC
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1
RFS
13 Aug
RFS
1 : 2
Jablonec
Page 1 of 8

Ventspils

(Away)
29 Sept
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Ventspils
17 Jun
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 2
Ventspils
29 May
Ventspils
0 : 0
Spartaks Jurmala
23 May
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Ventspils
17 May
Ventspils
2 : 2
Noah Jurmala
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)