Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RFS vs Vestri

Europe Europe

Conference League LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Panic S.
Assist: Ikaunieks J.
23' Event
Ikaunieks J.
Assist: Rakic S.
43' Event
Ndjiki R.
Assist: Zelenkovs D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
RFS
20%
Draws
34%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • RFS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • RFS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • RFS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor RFS, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RFS Vestri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Conference League
Vestri vs RFS
1:1
Jul 23, 2026 Conference League
RFS vs Vestri
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Panic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikaunieks J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Morfelt C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RFS 95 / 100
Vestri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RFS Vestri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RFS scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Vestri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: RFS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RFS VS Vestri
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RFS

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 6

Vestri

(Away)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutjeska -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Drita -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Bissen -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Larne -
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
HB Torshavn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
TBD -
Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks -
TBD -
TBD -
Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
TBD -
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg -
TBD -
Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Gent -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
TBD -
Apollon Limassol -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Zilina -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
TBD -
Vestri -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Zrinjski -
GAIS -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
TBD -
Dinamo City 4
FC Astana 2
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
TBD -
Sion -
Vojvodina -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Kalju 3
Linfield 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
TBD -
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Braga -
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
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Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
TBD -
Austria Vienna -
Twente -
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TBD -
Dun. Streda -
TBD -
Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
Dynamo Kyiv -
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Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Partizan -
TBD -
UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobol -
Lugano -
TBD -
TBD -
Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
TBD -
Koper -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
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TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 6
Petrocub Hincesti 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Sutjeska 1
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Flora 2
TNS 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 3
Gyor 7
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 8
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 5
HB Torshavn 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz 6
Atletic Escaldes 0
Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Zira FK 1
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 4
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Dinamo Tbilisi 5
Zalgiris 7
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa 7
Valletta 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks 3
Panathinaikos 4
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 4
Levadia 3
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 1
Malisheva 3
Hibernian 4
Bravo 3
Shkendija Tetovo 4
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj 3
Brann 5
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4
Ludogorets 2
Zilina 3
GKS Katowice 4
Bohemians 5
FC Ballkani 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka 2
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 2
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 4
RFS 5
Vestri 2
Valur 3
Zrinjski 2
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 6
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB 3
FK Auda Riga 7
Aluminij 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Noah 3
BATE 1
Sion 5
Vojvodina 2
Ajax 8
Shelbourne 6
Kalju 4
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 5
Neftci Baku 3
Din. Minsk 4
AEK Larnaca 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
FK Liepaja 1
Austria Vienna 5
Twente -
TBD -
Dun. Streda 4
Velez Mostar 0
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 5
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 2
Tobol 3
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 4
Koper 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 3
ML Vitebsk 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori 1
Drita 9
Flora 0
Inter Escaldes 6
Klaksvik -
TBD -
Riga FC 2
Gyor 1
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 1
Motherwell 3
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Inter Turku 4
Vaduz 3
Debrecen 1
FC Copenhagen 8
Hearts -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Rapid Vienna 6
CFR Cluj 1
Tromso 7
TBD -
Brighton -
Zalgiris 2
Hajduk Split 9
Rakow Czestochowa 1
Hammarby 0
Panathinaikos 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 1
Gent 2
Hibernian 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
PAOK -
TBD -
Brann 4
Apollon Limassol 3
Atalanta -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
GKS Katowice 2
Bohemians 2
Midtjylland 5
Rijeka 2
Ilves 1
Rangers -
TBD -
Jablonec 4
RFS 1
Valur 0
Nordsjaelland 7
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
St. Gallen 8
FK Auda Riga 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
Pafos -
Noah 3
Sion 4
Ajax 5
Shelbourne 3
Braga 1
Din. Minsk 0
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Austria Vienna 4
Twente 9
Dun. Streda 3
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe -
TBD -
Partizan 5
Tobol 1
Lugano 4
NSI Runavik 2
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Borac Banja Luka 6
Shamrock Rovers 1
KuPS 2
Drita 2
Inter Escaldes 3
Klaksvik 1
Riga FC 2
Lincoln Red Imps 3
Larne 2
Motherwell 2
Freiburg 7
Gornik Zabrze 3
Monaco 7
Inter Turku 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Hearts 5
Rapid Vienna 4
Tromso 0
Brighton 4
Hajduk Split 5
Rakow Czestochowa 4
Panathinaikos 4
Hradec Kralove 3
Gent 3
Hibernian 2
PAOK 3
Brann 4
Atalanta 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0
Midtjylland 6
Rijeka 1
Rangers 1
Jablonec 2
Nordsjaelland 4
St. Gallen 2
Dinamo City 3
Pafos 5
Sion 5
Ajax 9
Braga 2
Austria Vienna 0
Twente 4
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe 4
Partizan 3
Lugano 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2