Sport Picks
Rhode Island vs Faialense
USA
US Open Cup Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI 
Match Events
13'
13'
Rovira D.
Assist: Vang K.
26'
26'
Williams C.
Assist: Bacharach Capdevila H.
78'
78'
Scardina N.
Assist: Sanchez A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rhode Island
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rhode Island come out ahead of Faialense on wins alone.
- Model gives Rhode Island a 40% chance of winning this.
- Rhode Island have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rhode Island, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 68%
Faialense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rhode Island | Faialense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 2 |
| Wins | 13 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 US Open Cup
Rhode Island vs Faialense
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rhode Island Compare
Top Goalscorer Rovira D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Williams C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Faialense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rhode Island 95 / 100
Faialense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rhode Island Faialense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rhode Island Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rhode Island scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Faialense has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Rhode Island remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rhode Island VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rhode Island
(Home) 05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
30 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Rhode Island
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
15 Aug
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 Rhode Island
08 Aug
Rhode Island
2 : 0 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
08 Aug
Rhode Island
2 : 0 Colorado Springs
18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
11 Jul
Rhode Island
2 : 1 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 4
Faialense
(Away) 17 Mar
Rhode Island
4 : 0 Faialense
20 Mar
Portland Hearts of Pine
4 : 0 Faialense
17 Mar
Rhode Island
4 : 0 Faialense
20 Mar
Portland Hearts of Pine
4 : 0 Faialense
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Naples 3
Red Force 0
South Georgia Tormenta -
America CFL Spurs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhode Island 4
Faialense 0
Motown 0
Hartford Athletic 2
Chattanooga 2
Kalonji 1
Tennessee Tempo 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 4
Ristozi FC 1
Charleston 2
Florida Badgers 1
Richmond Kickers 2
Northern Virginia 0
West Chester United 1
Loudoun United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
Vistula 1
One Knoxville 3
Vermont Green 1
Portland Hearts of Pine 0
Westchester SC 2
NY Renegades 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steel City 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Carolina Core 1
Virginia Dream 2
Flint City 2
Forward Madison 0
Detroit City 5
Michigan Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 6
New Stars 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
FC Tulsa 4
Lexington 9
Flower City Union 0
Louisville City 2
Southern Indiana 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 3
Cruizers FC 2
Laredo Heat 0
El Paso Locomotive 2
Colorado Springs 3
Azteca 0
Ventura 1
Spokane Velocity 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Menace 0
BOHFS St. Louis 0
Union Omaha 8
AV Alta FC 0
Valley 559 FC 1
Sacramento Republic 2
El Farolito 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC 3
Laguna United 0
Phoenix Rising 4
San Ramon 0
1/32-finals
FC Naples 3
America CFL Spurs 0
TBD -
Orlando City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Rhode Island 2
Hartford Athletic 0
Chattanooga 1
Tennessee Tempo 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 3
Charleston 2
Richmond Kickers 1
Loudoun United 0
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
DC United -
TBD -
Asheville City 1
One Knoxville 2
Vermont Green 0
Westchester SC 1
TBD -
New York City -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Virginia Dream 0
Flint City 0
Detroit City 1
TBD -
Chicago Fire -
St. Louis City -
TBD -
San Antonio FC 0
FC Tulsa 1
Lexington 0
Louisville City 2
TBD -
Austin FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
New Mexico 0
El Paso Locomotive 4
Colorado Springs 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 1
Union Omaha 2
Valley 559 FC 0
Sacramento Republic 4
TBD -
Minnesota United -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Orange County SC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
1/16-finals
FC Naples 0
Orlando City 1
New England Revolution 2
Rhode Island 1
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte FC 6
Charlotte Independence 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Columbus Crew 3
DC United 3
One Knoxville 4
Westchester SC 2
New York City 5
New York Red Bulls 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Detroit City 1
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Louisville City 2
Austin FC 1
Houston Dynamo 4
El Paso Locomotive 1
Colorado Springs 3
Sporting Kansas City 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Union Omaha 0
Sacramento Republic 0
Minnesota United 1
San Jose Earthquakes 2
Phoenix Rising 0
1/8-finals
Orlando City 4
New England Revolution 3
Atlanta United 2
Charlotte FC 0
Columbus Crew 4
One Knoxville 1
New York City 3
New York Red Bulls 1
Chicago Fire 1
St. Louis City 2
Louisville City 1
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Springs 2
Colorado Rapids 3
Minnesota United 2
San Jose Earthquakes 4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City 4
Atlanta United 1
Columbus Crew 1
New York City 0
St. Louis City 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Colorado Rapids 2
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Semi-finals
Orlando City -
Columbus Crew -
St. Louis City -
Colorado Rapids -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
