Sport Picks
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI 
Match Events
23'
23'
Korzeniowski S.
Assist: Foyo O.
39'
39'
Yao K.
60'
60'
Sub
Herivaux Z. In: Shapiro-Thompson A.
Out: Herivaux Z.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Rhode Island and Indy Eleven finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rhode Island.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rhode Island
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Rhode Island carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Rhode Island taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rhode Island Clean Sheet 19%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rhode Island | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2026 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven
1:0
May 30, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 USL Championship
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rhode Island Compare
Top Goalscorer Korzeniowski S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Indy Eleven Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rhode Island 42 / 100
Indy Eleven 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rhode Island Indy Eleven
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rhode Island found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Indy Eleven has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Rhode Island stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rhode Island VS Indy Eleven
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rhode Island
(Home) 03 Oct
Brooklyn FC
1 : 3 Rhode Island
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
22 Aug
Rhode Island
3 : 1 Monterey Bay
08 Aug
Rhode Island
2 : 0 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 3
Indy Eleven
(Away) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
